Texas Tech vs Iowa State 9/29/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Texas Tech winning 57% of simulations, and Iowa State 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Texas Tech commits fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. Iowa State wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Seth Doege is averaging 352 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Steele Jantz is averaging 266 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IAST +0

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